Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 192.237901 215.154852 240.351182 270.218441 304.796391 343.735617 391.138303
2025-04-20 161.593896 193.065735 230.607555 279.151963 340.934005 417.854013 522.324229
2025-04-27 145.967709 182.123327 227.684649 290.252285 375.436470 489.611612 658.170370
2025-05-04 131.080411 169.038763 218.933725 290.765985 393.998506 541.008100 773.896800
2025-05-11 116.946592 154.796841 206.249791 283.209580 398.845911 572.113719 863.762471
2025-05-18 106.069507 143.600500 196.133297 277.400730 404.473643 603.906276 959.082816
2025-05-25 100.916114 139.774118 195.807185 285.552398 431.851145 673.049637 1129.761430
2025-06-01 94.373777 133.218416 190.646406 285.374199 445.424506 720.894430 1271.813630
2025-06-08 87.601883 125.681403 183.196459 280.521795 450.209716 753.668197 1391.421456
2025-06-15 82.915054 120.892018 179.492580 281.242552 464.422602 805.239868 1559.912748
2025-06-22 77.361029 114.304477 172.329203 275.270808 465.677000 832.133199 1681.298597
2025-06-29 73.193610 109.594388 167.792352 273.313293 473.956127 873.858204 1845.846051
2025-07-06 67.407480 101.975544 158.012547 261.361683 462.207985 873.849948 1913.866657
2025-07-13 65.766105 101.027345 159.379339 269.792036 491.590287 966.108139 2239.846182
2025-07-20 64.600626 100.758744 161.840437 280.443649 526.879316 1078.062950 2655.582755
2025-07-27 61.917462 97.717652 159.170609 280.935307 540.797237 1143.119144 2960.041872
2025-08-03 58.310704 92.855140 152.882882 273.691725 536.920272 1164.364353 3138.142574
2025-08-10 55.235285 88.739830 147.669780 268.122028 536.087416 1193.166736 3351.150502
2025-08-17 54.216054 88.187500 148.962743 275.937766 566.910688 1310.151345 3910.652505
2025-08-24 52.219100 85.756885 146.553283 275.766935 578.876575 1378.808408 4326.002160
2025-08-31 49.807736 82.438126 142.231200 271.114736 579.363423 1415.384986 4633.942270
2025-09-07 48.201489 80.506024 140.449945 271.805804 593.223926 1493.790843 5150.477343
2025-09-14 45.962966 77.283514 135.945091 266.079514 590.012092 1520.278226 5455.766385